Cyprus

v0.1 · 2022–2024 · 6/6 axes

Composite Score

ISI Composite

0.4682

Moderately Concentrated

Cohort Rank

2 / 27

Less concentrated than 7% of cohort

Axes Coverage

6 / 6

All axes available

Cohort Mean: 0.3444 · Δ +0.1238

Position in Cohort Distribution

Cyprus's composite score relative to the EU-27 cohort.

Multi-Axis Profile

Deviation from Cohort Mean

Bars show deviation from cohort composite mean (0.3444). Red = above mean. Green = below mean.

Axis

−0.30EU Mean+0.30

ScoreΔ Mean

Financial External Supplier Concentration

0.1241−0.2203

Energy External Supplier Concentration

0.3477+0.0033

Technology External Supplier Concentration

0.2244−0.1200

Defense External Supplier Concentration

0.7485+0.4041

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration

0.4236+0.0792

Logistics External Supplier Concentration

0.9411+0.5967

Structural Exposure Summary

Cyprus records a composite ISI of 0.4682, classified as Moderately Concentrated (rank 2 of 27). Structural exposure is led by Logistics / Freight Dependency (0.9411) and Defense Industrial Dependency (0.7485), which together represent the primary concentration vectors. The lowest axis score is Financial Sovereignty at 0.1241, indicating relative diversification in this domain and a score below the cohort composite mean. The 0.8170 spread between the highest and lowest axes signals an uneven exposure profile across domains.

Most Diversified (Lowest HHI)

Financial External Supplier Concentration0.1241

Technology External Supplier Concentration0.2244

Most Concentrated (Highest HHI)

Logistics External Supplier Concentration0.9411

Defense External Supplier Concentration0.7485

Axis 1

Financial External Supplier Concentration

0.1241Unconcentrated

Cyprus scores 0.1241 on financial sovereignty (unconcentrated). This reflects the concentration of inward banking claims and portfolio debt holdings across foreign creditor countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.1696

Channel A Volume

15.33K

Channel B Concentration

0.0827

Channel B Volume

16.88K

Score

0.1241

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Banking Claims Concentration

24 partners

BIS — International Banking Statistics · Bank for International Settlements

Top Partners

27.8%

21.6%

15.8%

9.3%

8.8%

5.0%

3.5%

1.6%

1.5%

1.2%

Other

27.8%

21.6%

15.8%

9.3%

8.8%

Other

12.9%

Ch. B: Portfolio Debt Concentration

IMF — Financial Statistics · International Monetary Fund

Warnings

◆ [Medium]BIS creditor coverage gap: non-BIS-reporting countries absent as creditors; concentration may be biased upward.
◆ [Medium]IMF CPIS participation is voluntary; China does not participate. Portfolio debt concentration may understate true exposure.
● [Low]Partial overlap between Channel A (bank claims) and Channel B (portfolio debt securities held by banks).
● [Low]Croatia (HR) absent from Channel B (IMF CPIS). Score reduces to Channel A only.

Axis 2

Energy External Supplier Concentration

0.3477Moderately Concentrated

Cyprus scores 0.3477 on energy dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of fossil fuel imports (gas, oil, solid fossil fuels) across supplier countries.

Channels

Ch. gas: Natural Gas Import Concentration

Eurostat — Natural Gas Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Ch. oil: Oil Import Concentration

267 partners

Eurostat — Oil Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Ch. solid_fossil: Solid Fossil Fuel Import Concentration

6 partners

Eurostat — Solid Fossil Fuels Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

50.0%

Fuel Concentrations

Oil

0.3472

Solid Fossil

0.5000

Warnings

◆ [Medium]Pipeline gas and LNG not separated. A country importing 50% pipeline gas from Russia and 50% LNG from multiple sources scores as if partially diversified.
◆ [Medium]Re-exports and transit flows may distort bilateral attribution across all fuel types.
● [Low]No price or contract-duration effects captured. Volume-based concentration only.

Axis 3

Technology External Supplier Concentration

0.2244Mildly Concentrated

Cyprus scores 0.2244 on technology/semiconductor dependency (mildly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of semiconductor imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.1549

Channel A Volume

18.18M

Channel B Concentration

0.2939

Channel B Volume

18.18M

Score

0.2244

Basis

Both Channels

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

65 partners

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

31.6%

14.3%

11.3%

9.5%

8.8%

3.8%

3.1%

2.4%

1.9%

1.4%

Other

31.6%

14.3%

11.3%

9.5%

8.8%

Other

12.7%

Ch. B: Category-Weighted Supplier Concentration

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Legacy Discrete	0.5286	807.59K
Legacy Components	0.5159	7.01M
Integrated Circuits	0.1253	10.36M

Warnings

◆ [Medium]Re-export blindness: bilateral trade records shipping country, not country of origin.
● [Low]Trade concentration does not capture domestic fabrication capacity.
● [Low]HS 8542 at HS4 aggregate: integrated circuits not decomposed into subcategories.
● [Low]Intra-EU trade included: EU partners appear as suppliers (by design).
● [Low]Three-year window (2022–2024) may include pandemic-era distortions.

Axis 4

Defense External Supplier Concentration

0.7485Highly Concentrated

Cyprus scores 0.7485 on defense industrial dependency (highly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of major conventional arms imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.4970

Channel A Volume

174.9000

Channel B Concentration

1.0000

Channel B Volume

174.9000

Score

0.7485

Basis

Both Channels

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

3 partners

SIPRI Arms Transfers Database · Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Top Partners

65.7%

22.9%

11.4%

65.7%

22.9%

11.4%

Ch. B: Capability-Block Weighted Concentration

SIPRI Arms Transfers Database · Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Air Power	1.0000	0.4
Land Combat	1.0000	40
Air Missile Defense	1.0000	114.5
Strike Missile	1.0000	20

Warnings

◆ [Medium]SIPRI TIV is a volume indicator, not a financial value. Comparability across weapon types is approximate.
◆ [Medium]SIPRI covers major conventional weapons only. Small arms, ammunition, MRO, and sustainment contracts are excluded.
● [Low]Six-year delivery window (2019–2024) may include legacy contracts not reflecting current strategic posture.
● [Low]Regex-based weapon classification may cause edge-case misclassification across capability blocks.
● [Low]Countries with no bilateral SIPRI supplier entries are assigned score=0 (zero external concentration). This reflects licensed production, joint EU procurement, or domestic manufacturing.

Axis 5

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration

0.4236Moderately Concentrated

Cyprus scores 0.4236 on critical inputs dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of critical raw material imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.3662

Channel A Volume

12.91M

Channel B Concentration

0.4810

Channel B Volume

12.91M

Score

0.4236

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

25 partners

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

50.2%

32.8%

7.5%

1.8%

1.3%

0.9%

0.8%

0.5%

50.2%

32.8%

7.5%

1.8%

1.3%

Other

4.3%

Ch. B: Material-Group Weighted Supplier Concentration

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Rare Earths	0.6807	115.74K
Battery Metals	0.4751	11.24M
Defense Industrial Metals	0.3222	24.55K
Semiconductor Inputs	0.6336	1.13M
Fertilizer Chokepoints	0.1652	398.28K

Warnings

▲ [High]Re-export and entrepot masking: bilateral trade records shipping country, not origin. 13 of 27 reporters source >50% from EU partners.
◆ [Medium]Small-economy amplification: CY, MT, LU produce mechanically high HHI values due to low total import volumes.
◆ [Medium]CN8 scope covers upstream materials only. Midstream processing and downstream products excluded. China's role understated.
● [Low]Confidential trade suppression: Q-prefix partner codes excluded. May cause underestimation for some partners.

Axis 6

Logistics External Supplier Concentration

0.9411Highly Concentrated

Cyprus scores 0.9411 on logistics/freight dependency (highly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of international freight across transport modes and bilateral partners.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.9553

Channel A Volume

17.38K

Channel B Concentration

0.3213

Channel B Volume

398.0000

Score

0.9411

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Transport Mode Concentration

Eurostat — Statistical Database · European Commission, Eurostat

Ch. B: Partner Concentration Per Transport Mode

10 partners

Eurostat — Statistical Database · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

52.8%

14.6%

10.1%

8.0%

5.5%

3.5%

2.0%

1.5%

1.0%

52.8%

14.6%

10.1%

8.0%

5.5%

Other

9.0%

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Road	0.3213	398

Warnings

▲ [High]Entrepot/hub masking: NL and BE scores understate their systemic importance as continental freight hubs; countries trading through NL/BE have inflated partner concentration masking true origin.
◆ [Medium]Geographic determinism: MT (Channel A HHI = 1.0), CY, and landlocked countries have structurally constrained scores reflecting geography, not policy choices.
◆ [Medium]Maritime-energy overlap: maritime tonnage includes energy commodity transport, creating partial redundancy with Axis 3 (Energy).
◆ [Medium]Tonnage blindness: all freight is treated equally per tonne regardless of commodity type; strategic commodity differentiation is absent.
● [Low]No route/chokepoint data: the axis cannot detect Suez, Bosporus, or any physical corridor dependency.

Cite: Drazsky, S., & International Sovereignty Institute. (2026). International Sovereignty Index (ISI) — EU-27 Founding Cohort (v1.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18764170

Category

HHI

Volume

Legacy Discrete

0.5286

807.59K

Legacy Components

0.5159

7.01M

Integrated Circuits

0.1253

10.36M

Category

HHI

Volume

Air Power

1.0000

0.4

Land Combat

1.0000

Air Missile Defense

1.0000

114.5

Strike Missile

1.0000

Category

HHI

Volume

Rare Earths

0.6807

115.74K

Battery Metals

0.4751

11.24M

Defense Industrial Metals

0.3222

24.55K

Semiconductor Inputs

0.6336

1.13M

Fertilizer Chokepoints

0.1652

398.28K

Category

HHI

Volume

Road

0.3213

398