Germany

v0.1 · 2022–2024 · 6/6 axes

Composite Score

ISI Composite

0.2679

Moderately Concentrated

Cohort Rank

22 / 27

Less concentrated than 81% of cohort

Axes Coverage

6 / 6

All axes available

Cohort Mean: 0.3444 · Δ -0.0765

Position in Cohort Distribution

Germany's composite score relative to the EU-27 cohort.

Multi-Axis Profile

Deviation from Cohort Mean

Bars show deviation from cohort composite mean (0.3444). Red = above mean. Green = below mean.

Axis

−0.30EU Mean+0.30

ScoreΔ Mean

Financial External Supplier Concentration

0.1019−0.2425

Energy External Supplier Concentration

0.3291−0.0153

Technology External Supplier Concentration

0.0976−0.2468

Defense External Supplier Concentration

0.5827+0.2383

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration

0.2231−0.1213

Logistics External Supplier Concentration

0.2730−0.0714

Structural Exposure Summary

Germany records a composite ISI of 0.2679, classified as Moderately Concentrated (rank 22 of 27). Structural exposure is led by Defense Industrial Dependency (0.5827) and Energy Dependency (0.3291), which together represent the primary concentration vectors. The lowest axis score is Technology / Semiconductor Dependency at 0.0976, indicating relative diversification in this domain and a score below the cohort composite mean. The 0.4850 spread between the highest and lowest axes signals an uneven exposure profile across domains.

Most Diversified (Lowest HHI)

Technology External Supplier Concentration0.0976

Financial External Supplier Concentration0.1019

Most Concentrated (Highest HHI)

Defense External Supplier Concentration0.5827

Energy External Supplier Concentration0.3291

Axis 1

Financial External Supplier Concentration

0.1019Unconcentrated

Germany scores 0.1019 on financial sovereignty (unconcentrated). This reflects the concentration of inward banking claims and portfolio debt holdings across foreign creditor countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.1265

Channel A Volume

1.92M

Channel B Concentration

0.0795

Channel B Volume

2.12M

Score

0.1019

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Banking Claims Concentration

30 partners

BIS — International Banking Statistics · Bank for International Settlements

Top Partners

23.6%

20.3%

9.4%

8.0%

5.9%

5.1%

4.7%

4.6%

3.7%

2.9%

Other

23.6%

20.3%

9.4%

8.0%

5.9%

Other

21.0%

Ch. B: Portfolio Debt Concentration

IMF — Financial Statistics · International Monetary Fund

Warnings

◆ [Medium]BIS creditor coverage gap: non-BIS-reporting countries absent as creditors; concentration may be biased upward.
◆ [Medium]IMF CPIS participation is voluntary; China does not participate. Portfolio debt concentration may understate true exposure.
● [Low]Partial overlap between Channel A (bank claims) and Channel B (portfolio debt securities held by banks).
● [Low]Croatia (HR) absent from Channel B (IMF CPIS). Score reduces to Channel A only.

Axis 2

Energy External Supplier Concentration

0.3291Moderately Concentrated

Germany scores 0.3291 on energy dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of fossil fuel imports (gas, oil, solid fossil fuels) across supplier countries.

Channels

Ch. gas: Natural Gas Import Concentration

20 partners

Eurostat — Natural Gas Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

42.0%

23.6%

12.3%

42.0%

23.6%

12.3%

Other

12.3%

Ch. oil: Oil Import Concentration

417 partners

Eurostat — Oil Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Ch. solid_fossil: Solid Fossil Fuel Import Concentration

154 partners

Eurostat — Solid Fossil Fuels Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

NSP

50.0%

NSP

50.0%

NSP

50.0%

NSP

50.0%

Fuel Concentrations

Gas

0.3374

Oil

0.2906

Solid Fossil

0.3138

Warnings

◆ [Medium]Pipeline gas and LNG not separated. A country importing 50% pipeline gas from Russia and 50% LNG from multiple sources scores as if partially diversified.
◆ [Medium]Re-exports and transit flows may distort bilateral attribution across all fuel types.
● [Low]No price or contract-duration effects captured. Volume-based concentration only.

Axis 3

Technology External Supplier Concentration

0.0976Unconcentrated

Germany scores 0.0976 on technology/semiconductor dependency (unconcentrated). This reflects the concentration of semiconductor imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.0898

Channel A Volume

77.04B

Channel B Concentration

0.1055

Channel B Volume

77.04B

Score

0.0976

Basis

Both Channels

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

180 partners

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

16.4%

14.3%

12.0%

10.6%

6.1%

5.6%

5.1%

4.4%

3.8%

3.1%

Other

16.4%

14.3%

12.0%

10.6%

6.1%

Other

22.1%

Ch. B: Category-Weighted Supplier Concentration

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Legacy Discrete	0.1388	12.8B
Legacy Components	0.1364	1B
Integrated Circuits	0.0982	63.24B

Warnings

◆ [Medium]Re-export blindness: bilateral trade records shipping country, not country of origin.
● [Low]Trade concentration does not capture domestic fabrication capacity.
● [Low]HS 8542 at HS4 aggregate: integrated circuits not decomposed into subcategories.
● [Low]Intra-EU trade included: EU partners appear as suppliers (by design).
● [Low]Three-year window (2022–2024) may include pandemic-era distortions.

Axis 4

Defense External Supplier Concentration

0.5827Highly Concentrated

Germany scores 0.5827 on defense industrial dependency (highly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of major conventional arms imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.4898

Channel A Volume

1.1K

Channel B Concentration

0.6756

Channel B Volume

1.1K

Score

0.5827

Basis

Both Channels

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

10 partners

SIPRI Arms Transfers Database · Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Top Partners

68.2%

13.1%

4.9%

4.6%

4.1%

3.7%

0.9%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

68.2%

13.1%

4.9%

4.6%

4.1%

Other

5.1%

Ch. B: Capability-Block Weighted Concentration

SIPRI Arms Transfers Database · Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Air Power	0.5336	369.35
Land Combat	0.9590	95.48
Air Missile Defense	1.0000	0.72
Naval Combat	0.5078	64
Strike Missile	0.7992	477.04
Isr Support	0.4200	90.5

Warnings

◆ [Medium]SIPRI TIV is a volume indicator, not a financial value. Comparability across weapon types is approximate.
◆ [Medium]SIPRI covers major conventional weapons only. Small arms, ammunition, MRO, and sustainment contracts are excluded.
● [Low]Six-year delivery window (2019–2024) may include legacy contracts not reflecting current strategic posture.
● [Low]Regex-based weapon classification may cause edge-case misclassification across capability blocks.
● [Low]Countries with no bilateral SIPRI supplier entries are assigned score=0 (zero external concentration). This reflects licensed production, joint EU procurement, or domestic manufacturing.

Axis 5

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration

0.2231Mildly Concentrated

Germany scores 0.2231 on critical inputs dependency (mildly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of critical raw material imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.1816

Channel A Volume

9.42B

Channel B Concentration

0.2646

Channel B Volume

9.42B

Score

0.2231

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

91 partners

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

37.1%

12.4%

11.9%

7.8%

5.3%

4.5%

3.5%

2.1%

1.8%

Other

37.1%

12.4%

11.9%

7.8%

5.3%

Other

13.7%

Ch. B: Material-Group Weighted Supplier Concentration

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Rare Earths	0.1578	148.04M
Battery Metals	0.3516	4.43B
Defense Industrial Metals	0.1954	1.65B
Semiconductor Inputs	0.1736	3.04B
Fertilizer Chokepoints	0.4047	159.12M

Warnings

▲ [High]Re-export and entrepot masking: bilateral trade records shipping country, not origin. 13 of 27 reporters source >50% from EU partners.
◆ [Medium]Small-economy amplification: CY, MT, LU produce mechanically high HHI values due to low total import volumes.
◆ [Medium]CN8 scope covers upstream materials only. Midstream processing and downstream products excluded. China's role understated.
● [Low]Confidential trade suppression: Q-prefix partner codes excluded. May cause underestimation for some partners.

Axis 6

Logistics External Supplier Concentration

0.2730Moderately Concentrated

Germany scores 0.2730 on logistics/freight dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of international freight across transport modes and bilateral partners.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.3485

Channel A Volume

2.07M

Channel B Concentration

0.1386

Channel B Volume

1.16M

Score

0.2730

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Transport Mode Concentration

Eurostat — Statistical Database · European Commission, Eurostat

Ch. B: Partner Concentration Per Transport Mode

64 partners

Eurostat — Statistical Database · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

29.2%

24.8%

18.3%

14.0%

13.8%

12.8%

10.2%

9.5%

9.4%

7.8%

Other

29.2%

24.8%

18.3%

14.0%

13.8%

Other

49.7%

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Road	0.1370	1.02M
Rail	0.1502	139.55K

Warnings

▲ [High]Entrepot/hub masking: NL and BE scores understate their systemic importance as continental freight hubs; countries trading through NL/BE have inflated partner concentration masking true origin.
◆ [Medium]Geographic determinism: MT (Channel A HHI = 1.0), CY, and landlocked countries have structurally constrained scores reflecting geography, not policy choices.
◆ [Medium]Maritime-energy overlap: maritime tonnage includes energy commodity transport, creating partial redundancy with Axis 3 (Energy).
◆ [Medium]Tonnage blindness: all freight is treated equally per tonne regardless of commodity type; strategic commodity differentiation is absent.
● [Low]No route/chokepoint data: the axis cannot detect Suez, Bosporus, or any physical corridor dependency.

Cite: Drazsky, S., & International Sovereignty Institute. (2026). International Sovereignty Index (ISI) — EU-27 Founding Cohort (v1.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18764170

Category

HHI

Volume

Legacy Discrete

0.1388

12.8B

Legacy Components

0.1364

Integrated Circuits

0.0982

63.24B

Category

HHI

Volume

Air Power

0.5336

369.35

Land Combat

0.9590

95.48

Air Missile Defense

1.0000

0.72

Naval Combat

0.5078

Strike Missile

0.7992

477.04

Isr Support

0.4200

90.5

Category

HHI

Volume

Rare Earths

0.1578

148.04M

Battery Metals

0.3516

4.43B

Defense Industrial Metals

0.1954

1.65B

Semiconductor Inputs

0.1736

3.04B

Fertilizer Chokepoints

0.4047

159.12M

Category

HHI

Volume

Road

0.1370

1.02M

Rail

0.1502

139.55K