France

v0.1 · 2022–2024 · 6/6 axes

Composite Score

ISI Composite

0.2357

Mildly Concentrated

Cohort Rank

27 / 27

Less concentrated than 100% of cohort

Axes Coverage

6 / 6

All axes available

Cohort Mean: 0.3444 · Δ -0.1087

Position in Cohort Distribution

France's composite score relative to the EU-27 cohort.

Multi-Axis Profile

Deviation from Cohort Mean

Bars show deviation from cohort composite mean (0.3444). Red = above mean. Green = below mean.

Axis

−0.30EU Mean+0.30

ScoreΔ Mean

Financial External Supplier Concentration

0.1004−0.2440

Energy External Supplier Concentration

0.3091−0.0353

Technology External Supplier Concentration

0.1200−0.2244

Defense External Supplier Concentration

0.3703+0.0260

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration

0.1612−0.1832

Logistics External Supplier Concentration

0.3529+0.0085

Structural Exposure Summary

France records a composite ISI of 0.2357, classified as Mildly Concentrated (rank 27 of 27). Structural exposure is led by Defense Industrial Dependency (0.3703) and Logistics / Freight Dependency (0.3529), which together represent the primary concentration vectors. The lowest axis score is Financial Sovereignty at 0.1004, indicating relative diversification in this domain and a score below the cohort composite mean. The 0.2700 spread between the highest and lowest axes signals an uneven exposure profile across domains.

Most Diversified (Lowest HHI)

Financial External Supplier Concentration0.1004

Technology External Supplier Concentration0.1200

Most Concentrated (Highest HHI)

Defense External Supplier Concentration0.3703

Logistics External Supplier Concentration0.3529

Axis 1

Financial External Supplier Concentration

0.1004Unconcentrated

France scores 0.1004 on financial sovereignty (unconcentrated). This reflects the concentration of inward banking claims and portfolio debt holdings across foreign creditor countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.1054

Channel A Volume

2.31M

Channel B Concentration

0.0946

Channel B Volume

2.02M

Score

0.1004

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Banking Claims Concentration

30 partners

BIS — International Banking Statistics · Bank for International Settlements

Top Partners

20.9%

17.0%

7.5%

7.4%

6.8%

6.6%

5.4%

5.2%

4.8%

4.2%

Other

20.9%

17.0%

7.5%

7.4%

6.8%

Other

26.2%

Ch. B: Portfolio Debt Concentration

IMF — Financial Statistics · International Monetary Fund

Warnings

◆ [Medium]BIS creditor coverage gap: non-BIS-reporting countries absent as creditors; concentration may be biased upward.
◆ [Medium]IMF CPIS participation is voluntary; China does not participate. Portfolio debt concentration may understate true exposure.
● [Low]Partial overlap between Channel A (bank claims) and Channel B (portfolio debt securities held by banks).
● [Low]Croatia (HR) absent from Channel B (IMF CPIS). Score reduces to Channel A only.

Axis 2

Energy External Supplier Concentration

0.3091Moderately Concentrated

France scores 0.3091 on energy dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of fossil fuel imports (gas, oil, solid fossil fuels) across supplier countries.

Channels

Ch. gas: Natural Gas Import Concentration

44 partners

Eurostat — Natural Gas Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

20.1%

20.0%

18.4%

15.7%

Other

20.1%

20.0%

18.4%

15.7%

Other

15.7%

Ch. oil: Oil Import Concentration

1011 partners

Eurostat — Oil Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Ch. solid_fossil: Solid Fossil Fuel Import Concentration

102 partners

Eurostat — Solid Fossil Fuels Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

49.9%

Fuel Concentrations

Gas

0.3146

Oil

0.2747

Solid Fossil

0.3411

Warnings

◆ [Medium]Pipeline gas and LNG not separated. A country importing 50% pipeline gas from Russia and 50% LNG from multiple sources scores as if partially diversified.
◆ [Medium]Re-exports and transit flows may distort bilateral attribution across all fuel types.
● [Low]No price or contract-duration effects captured. Volume-based concentration only.

Axis 3

Technology External Supplier Concentration

0.1200Unconcentrated

France scores 0.1200 on technology/semiconductor dependency (unconcentrated). This reflects the concentration of semiconductor imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.1143

Channel A Volume

15.41B

Channel B Concentration

0.1257

Channel B Volume

15.41B

Score

0.1200

Basis

Both Channels

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

177 partners

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

23.1%

17.3%

9.3%

7.7%

7.5%

6.8%

4.6%

3.0%

2.9%

2.4%

Other

23.1%

17.3%

9.3%

7.7%

7.5%

Other

19.8%

Ch. B: Category-Weighted Supplier Concentration

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Legacy Discrete	0.1978	1.07B
Legacy Components	0.1224	358.18M
Integrated Circuits	0.1203	13.98B

Warnings

◆ [Medium]Re-export blindness: bilateral trade records shipping country, not country of origin.
● [Low]Trade concentration does not capture domestic fabrication capacity.
● [Low]HS 8542 at HS4 aggregate: integrated circuits not decomposed into subcategories.
● [Low]Intra-EU trade included: EU partners appear as suppliers (by design).
● [Low]Three-year window (2022–2024) may include pandemic-era distortions.

Axis 4

Defense External Supplier Concentration

0.3703Moderately Concentrated

France scores 0.3703 on defense industrial dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of major conventional arms imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.2460

Channel A Volume

874.1500

Channel B Concentration

0.4947

Channel B Volume

874.1500

Score

0.3703

Basis

Both Channels

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

9 partners

SIPRI Arms Transfers Database · Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Top Partners

39.1%

21.4%

17.6%

10.5%

6.3%

3.3%

1.0%

0.6%

0.1%

39.1%

21.4%

17.6%

10.5%

6.3%

Other

5.1%

Ch. B: Capability-Block Weighted Concentration

SIPRI Arms Transfers Database · Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Air Power	0.2712	434.4
Land Combat	1.0000	2.5
Naval Combat	0.7314	182.65
Isr Support	0.7011	254.6

Warnings

◆ [Medium]SIPRI TIV is a volume indicator, not a financial value. Comparability across weapon types is approximate.
◆ [Medium]SIPRI covers major conventional weapons only. Small arms, ammunition, MRO, and sustainment contracts are excluded.
● [Low]Six-year delivery window (2019–2024) may include legacy contracts not reflecting current strategic posture.
● [Low]Regex-based weapon classification may cause edge-case misclassification across capability blocks.
● [Low]Countries with no bilateral SIPRI supplier entries are assigned score=0 (zero external concentration). This reflects licensed production, joint EU procurement, or domestic manufacturing.

Axis 5

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration

0.1612Mildly Concentrated

France scores 0.1612 on critical inputs dependency (mildly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of critical raw material imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.1087

Channel A Volume

5.67B

Channel B Concentration

0.2138

Channel B Volume

5.67B

Score

0.1612

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

106 partners

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

19.0%

18.3%

12.0%

8.7%

8.6%

7.5%

3.0%

2.6%

2.4%

1.9%

Other

19.0%

18.3%

12.0%

8.7%

8.6%

Other

17.3%

Ch. B: Material-Group Weighted Supplier Concentration

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Rare Earths	0.2439	65.21M
Battery Metals	0.2062	2.92B
Defense Industrial Metals	0.1424	839.73M
Semiconductor Inputs	0.2357	967.88M
Fertilizer Chokepoints	0.2808	879.29M

Warnings

▲ [High]Re-export and entrepot masking: bilateral trade records shipping country, not origin. 13 of 27 reporters source >50% from EU partners.
◆ [Medium]Small-economy amplification: CY, MT, LU produce mechanically high HHI values due to low total import volumes.
◆ [Medium]CN8 scope covers upstream materials only. Midstream processing and downstream products excluded. China's role understated.
● [Low]Confidential trade suppression: Q-prefix partner codes excluded. May cause underestimation for some partners.

Axis 6

Logistics External Supplier Concentration

0.3529Moderately Concentrated

France scores 0.3529 on logistics/freight dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of international freight across transport modes and bilateral partners.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.4151

Channel A Volume

1.07M

Channel B Concentration

0.2170

Channel B Volume

490.12K

Score

0.3529

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Transport Mode Concentration

Eurostat — Statistical Database · European Commission, Eurostat

Ch. B: Partner Concentration Per Transport Mode

42 partners

Eurostat — Statistical Database · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

38.9%

31.5%

17.5%

16.8%

16.5%

14.4%

12.1%

10.9%

9.9%

8.8%

Other

38.9%

31.5%

17.5%

16.8%

16.5%

Other

56.1%

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Road	0.2194	449.66K
Rail	0.1903	40.46K

Warnings

▲ [High]Entrepot/hub masking: NL and BE scores understate their systemic importance as continental freight hubs; countries trading through NL/BE have inflated partner concentration masking true origin.
◆ [Medium]Geographic determinism: MT (Channel A HHI = 1.0), CY, and landlocked countries have structurally constrained scores reflecting geography, not policy choices.
◆ [Medium]Maritime-energy overlap: maritime tonnage includes energy commodity transport, creating partial redundancy with Axis 3 (Energy).
◆ [Medium]Tonnage blindness: all freight is treated equally per tonne regardless of commodity type; strategic commodity differentiation is absent.
● [Low]No route/chokepoint data: the axis cannot detect Suez, Bosporus, or any physical corridor dependency.

Cite: Drazsky, S., & International Sovereignty Institute. (2026). International Sovereignty Index (ISI) — EU-27 Founding Cohort (v1.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18764170

Category

HHI

Volume

Legacy Discrete

0.1978

1.07B

Legacy Components

0.1224

358.18M

Integrated Circuits

0.1203

13.98B

Category

HHI

Volume

Air Power

0.2712

434.4

Land Combat

1.0000

2.5

Naval Combat

0.7314

182.65

Isr Support

0.7011

254.6

Category

HHI

Volume

Rare Earths

0.2439

65.21M

Battery Metals

0.2062

2.92B

Defense Industrial Metals

0.1424

839.73M

Semiconductor Inputs

0.2357

967.88M

Fertilizer Chokepoints

0.2808

879.29M

Category

HHI

Volume

Road

0.2194

449.66K

Rail

0.1903

40.46K