Hungary

v0.1 · 2022–2024 · 6/6 axes

Composite Score

ISI Composite

0.3297

Moderately Concentrated

Cohort Rank

16 / 27

Less concentrated than 59% of cohort

Axes Coverage

6 / 6

All axes available

Cohort Mean: 0.3444 · Δ -0.0147

Position in Cohort Distribution

Hungary's composite score relative to the EU-27 cohort.

Multi-Axis Profile

Deviation from Cohort Mean

Bars show deviation from cohort composite mean (0.3444). Red = above mean. Green = below mean.

Axis

−0.30EU Mean+0.30

ScoreΔ Mean

Financial External Supplier Concentration

0.1222−0.2222

Energy External Supplier Concentration

0.3858+0.0414

Technology External Supplier Concentration

0.2254−0.1190

Defense External Supplier Concentration

0.5447+0.2003

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration

0.2341−0.1103

Logistics External Supplier Concentration

0.4658+0.1214

Structural Exposure Summary

Hungary records a composite ISI of 0.3297, classified as Moderately Concentrated (rank 16 of 27). Structural exposure is led by Defense Industrial Dependency (0.5447) and Logistics / Freight Dependency (0.4658), which together represent the primary concentration vectors. The lowest axis score is Financial Sovereignty at 0.1222, indicating relative diversification in this domain and a score below the cohort composite mean. The 0.4225 spread between the highest and lowest axes signals an uneven exposure profile across domains.

Most Diversified (Lowest HHI)

Financial External Supplier Concentration0.1222

Technology External Supplier Concentration0.2254

Most Concentrated (Highest HHI)

Defense External Supplier Concentration0.5447

Logistics External Supplier Concentration0.4658

Axis 1

Financial External Supplier Concentration

0.1222Unconcentrated

Hungary scores 0.1222 on financial sovereignty (unconcentrated). This reflects the concentration of inward banking claims and portfolio debt holdings across foreign creditor countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.1320

Channel A Volume

44.14K

Channel B Concentration

0.0909

Channel B Volume

13.8K

Score

0.1222

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Banking Claims Concentration

24 partners

BIS — International Banking Statistics · Bank for International Settlements

Top Partners

27.8%

12.2%

11.9%

7.0%

6.9%

6.7%

6.5%

6.2%

4.2%

3.0%

Other

27.8%

12.2%

11.9%

7.0%

6.9%

Other

26.6%

Ch. B: Portfolio Debt Concentration

IMF — Financial Statistics · International Monetary Fund

Warnings

◆ [Medium]BIS creditor coverage gap: non-BIS-reporting countries absent as creditors; concentration may be biased upward.
◆ [Medium]IMF CPIS participation is voluntary; China does not participate. Portfolio debt concentration may understate true exposure.
● [Low]Partial overlap between Channel A (bank claims) and Channel B (portfolio debt securities held by banks).
● [Low]Croatia (HR) absent from Channel B (IMF CPIS). Score reduces to Channel A only.

Axis 2

Energy External Supplier Concentration

0.3858Moderately Concentrated

Hungary scores 0.3858 on energy dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of fossil fuel imports (gas, oil, solid fossil fuels) across supplier countries.

Channels

Ch. gas: Natural Gas Import Concentration

10 partners

Eurostat — Natural Gas Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

37.0%

9.5%

2.2%

NSP

1.3%

NSP

1.3%

37.0%

9.5%

2.2%

Other

4.8%

Ch. oil: Oil Import Concentration

290 partners

Eurostat — Oil Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

50.0%

Ch. solid_fossil: Solid Fossil Fuel Import Concentration

34 partners

Eurostat — Solid Fossil Fuels Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

50.0%

Fuel Concentrations

Gas

0.3966

Oil

0.3444

Solid Fossil

0.3765

Warnings

◆ [Medium]Pipeline gas and LNG not separated. A country importing 50% pipeline gas from Russia and 50% LNG from multiple sources scores as if partially diversified.
◆ [Medium]Re-exports and transit flows may distort bilateral attribution across all fuel types.
● [Low]No price or contract-duration effects captured. Volume-based concentration only.

Axis 3

Technology External Supplier Concentration

0.2254Mildly Concentrated

Hungary scores 0.2254 on technology/semiconductor dependency (mildly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of semiconductor imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.2132

Channel A Volume

13.28B

Channel B Concentration

0.2376

Channel B Volume

13.28B

Score

0.2254

Basis

Both Channels

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

108 partners

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

40.1%

19.2%

8.1%

5.7%

4.1%

4.0%

2.5%

2.0%

1.9%

1.7%

Other

40.1%

19.2%

8.1%

5.7%

4.1%

Other

12.2%

Ch. B: Category-Weighted Supplier Concentration

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Legacy Discrete	0.4125	2.72B
Legacy Components	0.4870	291.39M
Integrated Circuits	0.1843	10.28B

Warnings

◆ [Medium]Re-export blindness: bilateral trade records shipping country, not country of origin.
● [Low]Trade concentration does not capture domestic fabrication capacity.
● [Low]HS 8542 at HS4 aggregate: integrated circuits not decomposed into subcategories.
● [Low]Intra-EU trade included: EU partners appear as suppliers (by design).
● [Low]Three-year window (2022–2024) may include pandemic-era distortions.

Axis 4

Defense External Supplier Concentration

0.5447Highly Concentrated

Hungary scores 0.5447 on defense industrial dependency (highly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of major conventional arms imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.3166

Channel A Volume

978.5500

Channel B Concentration

0.7728

Channel B Volume

978.5500

Score

0.5447

Basis

Both Channels

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

8 partners

SIPRI Arms Transfers Database · Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Top Partners

51.2%

16.9%

10.7%

10.1%

5.5%

3.8%

1.8%

0.0%

51.2%

16.9%

10.7%

10.1%

5.5%

Other

5.7%

Ch. B: Capability-Block Weighted Concentration

SIPRI Arms Transfers Database · Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Air Power	0.3344	221.4
Land Combat	0.9261	452.95
Air Missile Defense	0.9511	107.7
Strike Missile	1.0000	124
Isr Support	0.5006	72.5

Warnings

◆ [Medium]SIPRI TIV is a volume indicator, not a financial value. Comparability across weapon types is approximate.
◆ [Medium]SIPRI covers major conventional weapons only. Small arms, ammunition, MRO, and sustainment contracts are excluded.
● [Low]Six-year delivery window (2019–2024) may include legacy contracts not reflecting current strategic posture.
● [Low]Regex-based weapon classification may cause edge-case misclassification across capability blocks.
● [Low]Countries with no bilateral SIPRI supplier entries are assigned score=0 (zero external concentration). This reflects licensed production, joint EU procurement, or domestic manufacturing.

Axis 5

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration

0.2341Mildly Concentrated

Hungary scores 0.2341 on critical inputs dependency (mildly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of critical raw material imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.2087

Channel A Volume

224.17M

Channel B Concentration

0.2594

Channel B Volume

224.17M

Score

0.2341

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

50 partners

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

42.7%

7.9%

7.3%

6.1%

6.0%

4.5%

3.9%

3.3%

2.9%

2.0%

Other

42.7%

7.9%

7.3%

6.1%

6.0%

Other

16.6%

Ch. B: Material-Group Weighted Supplier Concentration

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Rare Earths	0.2827	872.89K
Battery Metals	0.2045	43.71M
Defense Industrial Metals	0.1579	12M
Semiconductor Inputs	0.1981	79.16M
Fertilizer Chokepoints	0.3549	88.43M

Warnings

▲ [High]Re-export and entrepot masking: bilateral trade records shipping country, not origin. 13 of 27 reporters source >50% from EU partners.
◆ [Medium]Small-economy amplification: CY, MT, LU produce mechanically high HHI values due to low total import volumes.
◆ [Medium]CN8 scope covers upstream materials only. Midstream processing and downstream products excluded. China's role understated.
● [Low]Confidential trade suppression: Q-prefix partner codes excluded. May cause underestimation for some partners.

Axis 6

Logistics External Supplier Concentration

0.4658Moderately Concentrated

Hungary scores 0.4658 on logistics/freight dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of international freight across transport modes and bilateral partners.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.8056

Channel A Volume

431.82K

Channel B Concentration

0.1179

Channel B Volume

421.84K

Score

0.4658

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Transport Mode Concentration

Eurostat — Statistical Database · European Commission, Eurostat

Ch. B: Partner Concentration Per Transport Mode

68 partners

Eurostat — Statistical Database · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

22.0%

19.5%

17.4%

17.0%

12.7%

12.4%

11.3%

10.9%

10.6%

7.2%

Other

22.0%

19.5%

17.4%

17.0%

12.7%

Other

52.3%

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Road	0.1173	385.79K
Rail	0.1244	36.06K

Warnings

▲ [High]Entrepot/hub masking: NL and BE scores understate their systemic importance as continental freight hubs; countries trading through NL/BE have inflated partner concentration masking true origin.
◆ [Medium]Geographic determinism: MT (Channel A HHI = 1.0), CY, and landlocked countries have structurally constrained scores reflecting geography, not policy choices.
◆ [Medium]Maritime-energy overlap: maritime tonnage includes energy commodity transport, creating partial redundancy with Axis 3 (Energy).
◆ [Medium]Tonnage blindness: all freight is treated equally per tonne regardless of commodity type; strategic commodity differentiation is absent.
● [Low]No route/chokepoint data: the axis cannot detect Suez, Bosporus, or any physical corridor dependency.

Cite: Drazsky, S., & International Sovereignty Institute. (2026). International Sovereignty Index (ISI) — EU-27 Founding Cohort (v1.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18764170

Category

HHI

Volume

Legacy Discrete

0.4125

2.72B

Legacy Components

0.4870

291.39M

Integrated Circuits

0.1843

10.28B

Category

HHI

Volume

Air Power

0.3344

221.4

Land Combat

0.9261

452.95

Air Missile Defense

0.9511

107.7

Strike Missile

1.0000

124

Isr Support

0.5006

72.5

Category

HHI

Volume

Rare Earths

0.2827

872.89K

Battery Metals

0.2045

43.71M

Defense Industrial Metals

0.1579

12M

Semiconductor Inputs

0.1981

79.16M

Fertilizer Chokepoints

0.3549

88.43M

Category

HHI

Volume

Road

0.1173

385.79K

Rail

0.1244

36.06K