Ireland

v0.1 · 2022–2024 · 6/6 axes

Composite Score

ISI Composite

0.4280

Moderately Concentrated

Cohort Rank

—

Less concentrated than 11% of cohort

Axes Coverage

6 / 6

All axes available

Cohort Mean: 0.3444 · Δ +0.0836

Position in Cohort Distribution

Ireland's composite score relative to the EU-27 cohort.

Multi-Axis Profile

Deviation from Cohort Mean

Bars show deviation from cohort composite mean (0.3444). Red = above mean. Green = below mean.

Axis

−0.30EU Mean+0.30

ScoreΔ Mean

Financial External Supplier Concentration

0.1467−0.1977

Energy External Supplier Concentration

0.4647+0.1203

Technology External Supplier Concentration

0.5870+0.2426

Defense External Supplier Concentration

0.4489+0.1045

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration

0.3072−0.0372

Logistics External Supplier Concentration

0.6137+0.2693

Structural Exposure Summary

Ireland records a composite ISI of 0.4280, classified as Moderately Concentrated. Structural exposure is led by Logistics / Freight Dependency (0.6137) and Technology / Semiconductor Dependency (0.5870), which together represent the primary concentration vectors. The lowest axis score is Financial Sovereignty at 0.1467, indicating relative diversification in this domain and a score below the cohort composite mean. The 0.4671 spread between the highest and lowest axes signals an uneven exposure profile across domains.

Most Diversified (Lowest HHI)

Financial External Supplier Concentration0.1467

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration0.3072

Most Concentrated (Highest HHI)

Logistics External Supplier Concentration0.6137

Technology External Supplier Concentration0.5870

Axis 1

Financial External Supplier Concentration

0.1467Unconcentrated

Ireland scores 0.1467 on financial sovereignty (unconcentrated). This reflects the concentration of inward banking claims and portfolio debt holdings across foreign creditor countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.1149

Channel A Volume

851.85K

Channel B Concentration

0.1565

Channel B Volume

2.75M

Score

0.1467

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Banking Claims Concentration

30 partners

BIS — International Banking Statistics · Bank for International Settlements

Top Partners

20.4%

18.4%

11.2%

8.1%

8.0%

7.9%

5.3%

3.9%

3.7%

2.6%

Other

20.4%

18.4%

11.2%

8.1%

8.0%

Other

23.4%

Ch. B: Portfolio Debt Concentration

IMF — Financial Statistics · International Monetary Fund

Warnings

◆ [Medium]BIS creditor coverage gap: non-BIS-reporting countries absent as creditors; concentration may be biased upward.
◆ [Medium]IMF CPIS participation is voluntary; China does not participate. Portfolio debt concentration may understate true exposure.
● [Low]Partial overlap between Channel A (bank claims) and Channel B (portfolio debt securities held by banks).
● [Low]Croatia (HR) absent from Channel B (IMF CPIS). Score reduces to Channel A only.

Axis 2

Energy External Supplier Concentration

0.4647Moderately Concentrated

Ireland scores 0.4647 on energy dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of fossil fuel imports (gas, oil, solid fossil fuels) across supplier countries.

Channels

Ch. gas: Natural Gas Import Concentration

4 partners

Eurostat — Natural Gas Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

50.0%

Ch. oil: Oil Import Concentration

327 partners

Eurostat — Oil Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Ch. solid_fossil: Solid Fossil Fuel Import Concentration

45 partners

Eurostat — Solid Fossil Fuels Trade · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

40.1%

38.3%

26.8%

26.6%

26.2%

40.1%

38.3%

26.8%

26.6%

26.2%

Fuel Concentrations

Gas

0.5000

Oil

0.3538

Solid Fossil

0.3662

Warnings

◆ [Medium]Pipeline gas and LNG not separated. A country importing 50% pipeline gas from Russia and 50% LNG from multiple sources scores as if partially diversified.
◆ [Medium]Re-exports and transit flows may distort bilateral attribution across all fuel types.
● [Low]No price or contract-duration effects captured. Volume-based concentration only.

Axis 3

Technology External Supplier Concentration

0.5870Highly Concentrated

Ireland scores 0.5870 on technology/semiconductor dependency (highly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of semiconductor imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.5815

Channel A Volume

15.28B

Channel B Concentration

0.5924

Channel B Volume

15.28B

Score

0.5870

Basis

Both Channels

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

117 partners

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

74.8%

14.1%

3.1%

2.1%

1.7%

1.1%

0.9%

0.5%

0.3%

0.1%

74.8%

14.1%

3.1%

2.1%

1.7%

Other

3.0%

Ch. B: Category-Weighted Supplier Concentration

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Legacy Discrete	0.2096	174.91M
Legacy Components	0.1491	63.76M
Integrated Circuits	0.5988	15.04B

Warnings

◆ [Medium]Re-export blindness: bilateral trade records shipping country, not country of origin.
● [Low]Trade concentration does not capture domestic fabrication capacity.
● [Low]HS 8542 at HS4 aggregate: integrated circuits not decomposed into subcategories.
● [Low]Intra-EU trade included: EU partners appear as suppliers (by design).
● [Low]Three-year window (2022–2024) may include pandemic-era distortions.

Axis 4

Defense External Supplier Concentration

0.4489Moderately Concentrated

Ireland scores 0.4489 on defense industrial dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of major conventional arms imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.2893

Channel A Volume

107.9500

Channel B Concentration

0.6085

Channel B Volume

107.9500

Score

0.4489

Basis

Both Channels

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

7 partners

SIPRI Arms Transfers Database · Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Top Partners

40.8%

32.3%

10.4%

6.9%

4.6%

2.8%

2.3%

40.8%

32.3%

10.4%

6.9%

4.6%

Other

5.1%

Ch. B: Capability-Block Weighted Concentration

SIPRI Arms Transfers Database · Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Air Power	0.5739	59.4
Air Missile Defense	1.0000	2.5
Naval Combat	0.6319	46.05

Warnings

◆ [Medium]SIPRI TIV is a volume indicator, not a financial value. Comparability across weapon types is approximate.
◆ [Medium]SIPRI covers major conventional weapons only. Small arms, ammunition, MRO, and sustainment contracts are excluded.
● [Low]Six-year delivery window (2019–2024) may include legacy contracts not reflecting current strategic posture.
● [Low]Regex-based weapon classification may cause edge-case misclassification across capability blocks.
● [Low]Countries with no bilateral SIPRI supplier entries are assigned score=0 (zero external concentration). This reflects licensed production, joint EU procurement, or domestic manufacturing.

Axis 5

Critical Inputs External Supplier Concentration

0.3072Moderately Concentrated

Ireland scores 0.3072 on critical inputs dependency (moderately concentrated). This reflects the concentration of critical raw material imports across supplier countries.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.1662

Channel A Volume

570.95M

Channel B Concentration

0.4481

Channel B Volume

570.95M

Score

0.3072

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Aggregate Supplier Concentration

74 partners

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

30.0%

21.9%

8.1%

8.0%

7.2%

7.0%

5.3%

2.6%

2.5%

1.9%

Other

30.0%

21.9%

8.1%

8.0%

7.2%

Other

19.4%

Ch. B: Material-Group Weighted Supplier Concentration

Eurostat Comext — Detailed Trade Statistics · European Commission, Eurostat

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Rare Earths	0.9776	46.79M
Battery Metals	0.4385	99.3M
Defense Industrial Metals	0.2465	105.8M
Semiconductor Inputs	0.3282	97.81M
Fertilizer Chokepoints	0.4900	221.25M

Warnings

▲ [High]Re-export and entrepot masking: bilateral trade records shipping country, not origin. 13 of 27 reporters source >50% from EU partners.
◆ [Medium]Small-economy amplification: CY, MT, LU produce mechanically high HHI values due to low total import volumes.
◆ [Medium]CN8 scope covers upstream materials only. Midstream processing and downstream products excluded. China's role understated.
● [Low]Confidential trade suppression: Q-prefix partner codes excluded. May cause underestimation for some partners.

Axis 6

Logistics External Supplier Concentration

0.6137Highly Concentrated

Ireland scores 0.6137 on logistics/freight dependency (highly concentrated). This reflects the concentration of international freight across transport modes and bilateral partners.

Audit Breakdown

Channel A Concentration

0.5308

Channel A Volume

155.95K

Channel B Concentration

0.8343

Channel B Volume

58.61K

Score

0.6137

Basis

Both

Channels

Ch. A: Transport Mode Concentration

Eurostat — Statistical Database · European Commission, Eurostat

Ch. B: Partner Concentration Per Transport Mode

17 partners

Eurostat — Statistical Database · European Commission, Eurostat

Top Partners

91.2%

3.2%

2.2%

0.9%

0.5%

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

91.2%

3.2%

2.2%

0.9%

0.5%

Other

1.5%

Subcategories

Category	HHI	Volume
Road	0.8343	58.61K

Warnings

▲ [High]Entrepot/hub masking: NL and BE scores understate their systemic importance as continental freight hubs; countries trading through NL/BE have inflated partner concentration masking true origin.
◆ [Medium]Geographic determinism: MT (Channel A HHI = 1.0), CY, and landlocked countries have structurally constrained scores reflecting geography, not policy choices.
◆ [Medium]Maritime-energy overlap: maritime tonnage includes energy commodity transport, creating partial redundancy with Axis 3 (Energy).
◆ [Medium]Tonnage blindness: all freight is treated equally per tonne regardless of commodity type; strategic commodity differentiation is absent.
● [Low]No route/chokepoint data: the axis cannot detect Suez, Bosporus, or any physical corridor dependency.

Cite: Drazsky, S., & International Sovereignty Institute. (2026). International Sovereignty Index (ISI) — EU-27 Founding Cohort (v1.0). Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18764170

Category

HHI

Volume

Legacy Discrete

0.2096

174.91M

Legacy Components

0.1491

63.76M

Integrated Circuits

0.5988

15.04B

Category

HHI

Volume

Air Power

0.5739

59.4

Air Missile Defense

1.0000

2.5

Naval Combat

0.6319

46.05

Category

HHI

Volume

Rare Earths

0.9776

46.79M

Battery Metals

0.4385

99.3M

Defense Industrial Metals

0.2465

105.8M

Semiconductor Inputs

0.3282

97.81M

Fertilizer Chokepoints

0.4900

221.25M

Category

HHI

Volume

Road

0.8343

58.61K